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Severe weather overload? 2022 Alabama storm season not unusually busy, meteorologists say - AL.com

Are you feeling like this spring has been one round of severe storms after another?

It may seem like it there have been never-ending storms, but it hasn’t been all that much busier than normal, according to meteorologists.

“As far as the number of incidents that we’ve had, it seems like about every 10 days, and that’s not all that frequent,” said John De Block, the warning coordination meteorologist at the National Weather Service in Birmingham.

“We’ve had a lot of weather in general, we’ve had a number of weather systems moving through, but they all haven’t been severe. I would not categorize this as a ‘busy’ season so far.”

But, with that being said, there is another chance for strong storms in the forecast for Alabama this week.

NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center has all of the state included in a severe weather risk area for Wednesday, when another cold front is scheduled to roll through. All forms of severe weather again look to be possible, including damaging winds, flooding and tornadoes.

The previous round of storms was last Tuesday, March 22, which ended up producing at least six tornadoes and flash flooding that killed three people in Tuscaloosa.

And the week before had another round of storms and flooding, which claimed the life of another person in Birmingham on March 16.

Severe storms are frequent in Alabama, especially this time of year, which is typically the peak of the spring severe weather season. The months of March, April and May are usually when some of the highest tornado counts can be found.

Alabama severe weather

Tornadoes are possible every single month of the year in Alabama, but the springtime is typically the most active. There's also a "secondary" fall severe weather season.

Last March was especially busy. There were 40 confirmed tornadoes in the state in March 2021, according to the National Weather Service, including an EF-3 in Calhoun County that killed six people.

This March has been busy, but the tornado numbers haven’t gotten close to those in 2021. So far this month there have been nine confirmed tornadoes.

But don’t get too comfortable. The peak of the severe weather season isn’t here yet.

“We are not quite there,” De Block said. “ ... Probably the first week of April, around April 10th, I would consider to be the peak time of our window. Of course, we all know of the famous April events, and April 27 sticks out heads and shoulders above the rest of them. But the month of April tends to be a very, very busy month.”

The number of tornadoes is up slightly when you look at the national average, De Block said.

“So far for the county the Storm Prediction Center counts 182 tornadoes, and that puts us in the 75 percentile through March 23. So it is above normal as we look across the country,” he said.

“Through February we had 16 total for the state. The 30-year average is 50 tornadoes per year. And if we’re at 16 and you add March tornadoes, and there have been a few, then we’re well on our way to meeting that average ahead of time.”

There’s no one thing that can take the blame for the number of weather systems that have rolled through Alabama so far this year, he said.

“I wouldn’t pin it on anything and just consider it normal variability in weather patterns,” he said.

Since the peak of the season is approaching and more storms are on the horizon, now is the time to get prepared, he added.

“The fair weather is the time to make sure you’re ready for the inclement weather,” he said. “When the skies are blue that’s the time to check out your safe places, make sure everything is cleaned out if you haven’t already done that this year. Make sure your batteries are fresh in your radios and your flashlights. Preparation and awareness are the keys to severe weather season.”

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