The FOX Forecast Center is tracking the movement of a cold front across the South that is triggering showers and thunderstorms over a region that does not need any more rain.
NOAA's Storm Prediction Center believes that after storms leave Oklahoma and Arkansas the threat of strong to severe weather will progress off to the south and east and impact parts of Mississippi, Alabama and Florida on Sunday.
Large hail appears to be the highest threat from any severe thunderstorms that develop, but the FOX Forecast Center warned it will not take too much more rainfall to trigger additional flash flooding in parts of the South that have been getting rain for much of the week.
More than a dozen water gauges along major rivers, creeks and streams in Arkansas are either near flood stage or above, and many communities are well above average for rainfall in 2023.
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(FOX Weather)
According to observations from the National Weather Service, Fayetteville, Arkansas, is running more than 4.7 inches above average, while Little Rock is running nearly 11 inches above average for precipitation.
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Communities in Sunday’s threat zone include Jackson and Hattiesburg in Mississippi, Montgomery, Dothan and Mobile in Alabama and Pensacola in Florida.
"Damaging winds and hail are the primary hazards and the greatest threats out of these powerful storms, but if we get enough rotation within these supercells, we could likely see a few tornadoes," FOX Weather meteorologist Jane Minar said.
The cold front will be near the East Coast on Monday, but due to stable air, widespread severe weather is not anticipated.
(FOX Weather)
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March 12, 2023 at 07:49AM
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Weekend severe-storm threat stretches across Deep South - Fox Weather
"severe" - Google News
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