Here is the text from the latest Mesoscale Discussion from the SPC about the 80% odds of a Severe Thunderstorm Watch being issued for the southeastern parts of Central Alabama:
SUMMARY… A severe/damaging wind threat is expected to continue into the evening with a line of storms moving eastward. Severe Thunderstorm Watch issuance is likely.
DISCUSSION… An organized QLCS will move eastward across parts of southern/central AL through the remainder of the afternoon and into the early evening. A moist and unstable airmass exists downstream of this convection, and to the south of an outflow boundary where additional, non-severe storms have formed. As large-scale ascent and 35-40 kt of mid-level flow associated with an upper trough now over the lower MS Valley continues to overspread AL/GA and the FL Panhandle, the QLCS should maintain its intensity through much of the evening. Given the linear nature of this ongoing convection and steep low-level lapse rates owing to diurnal heating, scattered damaging downdraft winds should be the main threat. The low-level flow is not overly strong, and appears mostly veered to southwesterly per recent surface observations and area VWPs. Accordingly, any tornado threat should remain rather brief/isolated. Severe Thunderstorm Watch issuance will likely be needed to address the damaging wind threat.
Category: Alabama's Weather, ALL POSTS, Severe Weather
About the Author (Author Profile)
Scott Martin is an operational meteorologist, professional graphic artist, musician, husband, and father. Not only is Scott a member of the National Weather Association, but he is also the Central Alabama Chapter of the NWA president. Scott is also the co-founder of Racecast Weather, which provides forecasts for many racing series across the USA. He also supplies forecasts for the BassMaster Elite Series events including the BassMaster Classic."severe" - Google News
May 05, 2021 at 05:26AM
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Severe T-Storm Watch Likely for the Southeastern Parts of Central Alabama - alabamawx.com
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