Highest summer peak of 166 GW in 2006
Above-average US summer weather expected
PJM Interconnection power system operators have forecast peak electricity demand this summer of roughly 149 GW, with over 185 GW of installed generating capacity available, which should ensure adequate supply for what is expected to be a relatively hot summer, the grid operator said May 20.
Not registered?
Receive daily email alerts, subscriber notes & personalize your experience.
Register Now"Planning and preparation are key," Manu Asthana, PJM president and CEO, said in a statement.
"PJM and our members continually coordinate and prepare for peak load operations throughout the year," Asthana said.
PJM's all-time highest power use was recorded in the summer of 2006 at 165,563 MW.
PJM power demand peaked in 2020 at approximately 144 GW on July 20, when total energy use during the summer was suppressed due to impacts from the coronavirus pandemic, PJM said.
"PJM is expecting higher demand this summer, as these impacts have decreased and the forecast calls for warmer-than-normal temperatures," the grid operator said.
Top 10 PJM Summer Peaks
Rank
Date
Load MW
Coincident Load MW
DR MW
Final MW
1
8/2/2006
144,644
20,919
-
165,563
2
7/21/2011
158,043
5,702
108
163,853
3
7/22/2011
151,366
7,588
2,212
161,166
4
7/18/2013
157,509
116
2,075
159,700
5
7/17/2012
154,339
2,222
2,294
158,855
6
7/20/2011
150,060
7,734
77
157,871
7
7/19/2013
156,077
110
520
156,707
8
7/18/2012
152,758
2,030
406
155,194
9
7/17/2013
154,044
119
581
154,744
10
7/6/2012
151,966
2,225
361
154,553
Source: PJM
Warmer US weather
The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission also released their Summer Energy Market and Reliability Assessment on May 20, which included a forecast for higher summer temperatures nationwide.
Like the past five summers, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration forecasts higher than average temperatures throughout the US this summer, which could drive up demand for electricity, the report said.
The upper Midwest and East Coast have a 40%-50% probability of above average temperatures for June, July, and August and the East Coast will have a 50% probability of above average temperatures for July, August, and September, FERC said.
Regarding market fundamentals for US electricity markets, the North American Electric Reliability Corporation forecasts net demand for power to increase by approximately 0.6% for summer 2021 compared with summer 2020.
Most electric capacity additions are forecast from natural gas, solar, wind and battery resources during the summer, while nearly 1.7 GW of coal-fired generation capacity, largely in PJM, Midcontinent Independent System Operator, and ISO New England are scheduled to retire this summer, according to the FERC report.
And about 2.3 GW of nuclear power capacity in PJM is scheduled to retire this summer, the report said. Specifically, Exelon's 2.3 GW Byron nuclear plant located in northern Illinois plans to shut down in September 2021, making it available to serve load during the historically warmer summer months, FERC said.
Natural gas-fired power generation is expected to continue to play an important role in the summer of 2021 at an average market share of 48% across organized wholesale power markets, making it the largest source of electric generation capacity, according to the commission's assessment.
"peak" - Google News
May 21, 2021 at 03:28AM
https://ift.tt/3u85Y43
PJM expects ample power generation capacity to meet 149 GW summer peak - S&P Global
"peak" - Google News
https://ift.tt/2KZvTqs
https://ift.tt/2Ywz40B
Bagikan Berita Ini
0 Response to "PJM expects ample power generation capacity to meet 149 GW summer peak - S&P Global"
Post a Comment