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Severe storms and flooding possible in Northeast, one week after Ida - The Washington Post

Seven days after the remnants of Hurricane Ida brought devastating flooding and tornadoes to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast, a cold front sweeping through the region could trigger another round of hazardous weather.

The showers and storms predicted Wednesday afternoon and night will not in general be nearly as widespread and intense as those unleashed by Ida, but they could still produce pockets of flooding, hail and damaging winds. A few tornadoes also cannot be ruled out.

Severe storm threat

On Wednesday, the National Weather Service placed the region from Northern Virginia to southern Vermont in a Level 2 out of 5 risk zone for severe storms.

“Scattered damaging thunderstorm wind gusts and a few tornadoes are expected across portions of the Mid-Atlantic region and Northeast,” it wrote Wednesday afternoon.

Surrounding the Level 2 risk zone, the Weather Service has outlined a Level 1 risk for severe storms from northern South Carolina to the New Hampshire-Maine border. Overall, about 75 million people in the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast have an elevated risk of severe storms as the cold front passes.

The zone most susceptible to tornadoes may focus from northeastern Maryland to southeastern New York state, generally west of New York City. Some isolated instances of large hail could also occur in this area.

Around Washington, some strong to severe storms are possible between about 5 and 10 p.m. Wednesday, possibly extending into the overnight hours, but the more intense activity may focus to the north and northeast.

Flooding threat

Some of Wednesday’s storm could unleash very heavy downpours, increasing the risk of flooding, particularly from eastern Pennsylvania into parts of southern New England. These are some of the same areas that Ida deluged with three to nine inches of rain.

“Given the saturated soils from Ida, locations in eastern PA, northern NJ, southern NY, western MA/CT, and southern VT are most susceptible to flash flooding,” the Weather Service tweeted.

The Weather Service has issued flash flood watches from southeastern Pennsylvania to the Lower Hudson Valley, including New York City’s western suburbs, where one to two inches of rain could fall in a short period.

“It will not take much rainfall to cause flash flooding of urban, flood prone, and other low-lying areas,” the Weather Service in Mount Holly, N.J., wrote.

The cold front coming through is relatively fast-moving compared with Ida and will not have access to nearly the amount of tropical moisture that fueled Ida.

The National Weather Service Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center’s daily briefing indicated that it does not expect enough rain to fall over a large enough area to cause significant river flooding from this event.

By Thursday morning, the chance of rain will diminish from Washington to New York as the front pushes toward the Atlantic coast. Dry weather is then predicted between Friday and early next week.

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Severe storms and flooding possible in Northeast, one week after Ida - The Washington Post
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